A lame-duck president should normally have more trouble telling allies what to do, but a Donald Trump armed with executive orders might be an exception. How effective he will now be at forcing his 5% shoot-from-the-hip spending figure on Nato members remains to be seen. PM Andrej Babiš apparently saw what was coming and told Trump's chief arms sellers a firm No, whereas Pres. Petr Pavel decided long ago to play along with Trump. Pavel told the Harvard Kennedy School in Sept. 2025 that everyone was shocked when Trump said that countries not paying their fair share wouldn't be defended but that the message was absolutely right. Yesterday Pavel said that the Democratic victory in the midterms will likely lead to a certain correction to Trump's policies, but Pavel and some of his consultants and backers certainly won't welcome that correction if it means less pressure from the U.S. to spend more money on defense. It would be ironic if the original Czech Trumpist, Andrej Babiš, were ultimately the Czech politician who benefited the most from Trump's debacle this week.

